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[Library Request] oipd #9414

@AlexCatarino

Description

@AlexCatarino

oipd computes the probabilities implied by the options market for an asset’s future prices.

  • It does this by taking listed options data, fitting an arbitrage-free implied volatility curve or surface, and then transforming that fitted object into a probability distribution over future asset prices. In practice, that provides two core capabilities in one library:
  • Volatility modeling: fit single-expiry smiles and multi-expiry volatility surfaces for pricing and risk work.
    Probability extraction: compute market-implied probability distributions, cumulative probabilities, quantiles, and distributional moments.

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